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Adaptive Modeler 0.97


Adaptive Modeler 0.97

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Adaptive Modeler 0.97 Ranking & Summary

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Ranking Level
User Review: 10 (1 times)
File size: 0.99MB
Platform: Windows 2003, XP, 2000
License: Freeware
Price: Free
Downloads: 518
Date added: 2008-06-12
Publisher: Altreva, Inc

Adaptive Modeler 0.97 description

Adaptive Modeler is a tool for creating agent-based market simulation models for price forecasting of real world market-traded securities such as stocks, ETFs or forex currencies.

An agent-based model is a dynamic system of interacting autonomous entities. More specifically, an agent-based model of a financial market consists of a population of agents (representing investors with their own assets and trading strategy) and a price discovery mechanism (representing a market).

Agent-based models have shown to be able to simulate complex systems such as stock markets better than traditional mathematical finance. Conventionally, financial markets have been studied using analytical mathematics based on a generalization of market participants and other simplifications and idealizations. However, the behavior of financial markets as observed in reality can not be fully described by such mathematical models. In reality, market prices are established by a large diversity of investors with different decision making methods and different investment goals (such as risk preference and time horizon). The complex dynamics of these heterogeneous investors and the resulting price formation process require a simulation model of multiple heterogeneous agents and a virtual market.

Research has shown that complex behavior as seen in actual markets can emerge from simulations of agents with relatively simple decision rules.

Key Features (extensive feature list)
easy to use drag-and-drop user interface
real-time charts and plots to visualize model evolution, behavior and performance
user configurable genetic programming engine for trading rule creation
supports custom quote intervals from 1 second to daily and longer
Trading Simulator with hedge-fund style performance overview
various return & risk indicators (alpha, beta, Sharpe ratio, VaR, MAR ratio, historical & Monte Carlo simulations, etc.)
sub period returns and statistics
data export function .

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